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arXiv:cs.AI· Gennadiy Chistiakov, Yury Yanovich·· 6 小时前

模块化金融强化学习中的信用分配:等量信息评估框架

Equal-information evaluation of credit assignment in modular financial reinforcement learning

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研究者提出一套等量信息评估框架,结合等量信息重构对照、固定效用比较与预设下游护栏,用于评估模块化金融强化学习中的信用分配,并在归因引导的模块化交易架构上开展三项对照研究。结果显示,基于残差的分配在披露接口下与普通损失预算控制完全一致;直接缺口监督提升了组件预测却未能保持解码结果;组件级 critic 监督在固定效用下相较标量监督恶化了风险条件确定性等价与回撤。

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Abstract:Credit assignment in modular financial reinforcement learning is difficult to evaluate because an attributed signal may improve a component loss without adding decision-relevant information or improving economic outcomes. We propose an evaluation framework combining equal-information reconstruction controls, fixed-utility comparisons and prespecified downstream guardrails. The framework is instantiated in an attribution-guided modular trading architecture and tested in three controlled studies covering update allocation, supervision-target representation and portfolio risk control. We find that residual-based allocation is exactly reproduced by an ordinary loss-budget control under the disclosed interface; direct shortfall supervision improves component prediction but fails decoded-outcome preservation; and component-wise critic supervision worsens risk-condition certainty equivalent and drawdown relative to scalar supervision under fixed utility. These results identify three distinct evaluation failures: redundant attribution signals, representation-induced prediction trade-offs, and misalignment between component supervision and downstream risk outcomes. A preserved historical engineering case further shows why module-level learning claims require run-level provenance. The contribution is a reusable methodology for evaluating credit assignment in expert systems operating under partial observability, delayed feedback and economic risk constraints.
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
Cite as: arXiv:2610.14750 [cs.AI]
  (or arXiv:2610.14750v1 [cs.AI] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.14750

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Yury Yanovich [view email]
[v1] Sat, 10 Oct 2026 09:14:23 UTC (2,193 KB)

来源:arXiv:cs.AI · arxiv.org