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Tomer Tunguz 博客(VC 分析)·· 2 小时前AI 评分58

开源权重模型占 OpenRouter 命名模型 token 量 69.1%

The Thriving Ecosystem of Open Models

AI 导读

Tomer Tunguz 分析 OpenRouter 数据指出,最新一周开源权重模型占命名模型开放与闭源对比 token 量的 69.1%,闭源模型为 30.9%。

正文

In short : Open-weight models reached 69.1% of named model-level OpenRouter token volume in the latest week, while provider leadership fragmented across Anthropic, DeepSeek, Google, OpenAI, & a large long tail.

Competition is a discovery procedure. — Friedrich Hayek

And developers are discovering the value of open models.

OpenRouter offers a useful view into the model market.1 It is not the whole AI economy. But it is close to the API frontier, where developers can switch models quickly, compare price-performance daily, & route each request to the best available option.

Stacked chart of open versus closed model token share on OpenRouter

Since 2025, open models have grown sharply on OpenRouter. In the latest model-level snapshot, open-weight models generated 69.1% of named open-versus-closed token volume. Closed models produced 30.9%.

Open-model demand jumps with launches

New models attract developer attention & large scale testing, after which token use surges. Each new clustered release of different models sustains a new plateau of token volume.

Open-model leadership keeps changing hands

Just as in the closed-model ecosystem, the competition among open models means rapid innovation & leaderboard changes.

DeepSeek’s early lead gave way to MiniMax & Kimi models in late 2025 & early 2026. Later, launches from MiMo, Qwen, Alibaba’s open-weight model family, Hy3, Tencent’s open-weight model release, & DeepSeek reshuffled share again.

Arcee, a US lab focused, makes a strong appearance recently.

Open models still represent a fraction of overall inference, but the thriving competition, increasing usage, & surge of experimentation suggest developers are increasingly willing to route production traffic to them.


  1. Source data: OpenRouter rankings & usage data, analyzed from weekly token-volume snapshots in the OpenRouter analysis dataset. ↩︎

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来源:Tomer Tunguz 博客(VC 分析) · tomtunguz.com