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arXiv:cs.AI· Jing Liu, Yongxing Qi, Ping Yao, Ting Wu·· 6 小时前

输出纪律决定下限:一种模型无关的智能体协议,用于可审计的假设驱动决策

Output Discipline Sets the Floor: A Falsification-Guided, Model-Agnostic Agent Protocol for Auditable Hypothesis-Driven Decision Making

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在 TCMEval-SDT 中医辨证基准(200 例)上,约束大语言模型可审计决策的瓶颈是输出纪律与推理结构而非模型能力,两年模型规模扩展只让零样本分数变动 -0.03 至 +0.08。

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Abstract:What binds large language models on auditable, hypothesis-driven decision tasks, where every candidate can be checked against the evidence? On the public TCMEval-SDT benchmark for Traditional Chinese Medicine syndrome differentiation (200 cases), the binding constraint is output discipline and reasoning structure, not model capability alone: two years of model scaling move zero-shot scores by only -0.03 to +0.08, while output-discipline failures (non-terminating reasoning, format non-compliance, large run-to-run spread) persist even in frontier models. We test this with a model-agnostic agent framework formalizing decision making as a five-stage closed loop, enforced by a candidate x evidence matrix falsification protocol: every candidate is judged against every evidence item, at least half of the candidates must be falsified before a conclusion is licensed, and survivors are emitted in a machine-verifiable single-line format. Across five base models, the effect is sign-conditional on zero-shot output discipline: it rescues models whose discipline fails (DeepSeek-V4-Flash: +0.267/+0.271, entirely termination rescue), reduces a high-variance model's run-to-run standard deviation from 0.218 to 0.007 (Kimi K3), and significantly costs already-disciplined models (-0.087 to -0.120 on budget-matched Qwen3-4B/32B). Ablations attribute the cost to the candidate-bounded format layer and show the effect is independent of injected knowledge content (protocol-knowledge decoupling). The protocol also transfers to misinformation-robust mathematical reasoning, detecting injected false premises at 89.8% recall with a 6.8% false-positive rate (MCC 0.54; a flag-everything baseline scores 0) and restoring accuracy to the no-misinformation ceiling. Where zero-shot output discipline is weak, the reasoning protocol sets the floor; base-model capability always sets the ceiling.
Comments: 24 pages, 5 figures, 12 tables
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence (cs.AI)
ACM classes: I.2.7; I.2.3
Cite as: arXiv:2610.18298 [cs.AI]
  (or arXiv:2610.18298v1 [cs.AI] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.18298

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Jing Liu [view email]
[v1] Tue, 13 Oct 2026 12:46:44 UTC (111 KB)

来源:arXiv:cs.AI · arxiv.org