模拟太阳变暗的地缘政治推演：结果比想象更糟
They war-gamed dimming the Sun. It went even worse than you think.
气候研究员 Colleen Golja 去年 9 月在伦敦参加了名为"探索地缘政治临界点与气候降温策略"的首场兵棋推演，数十名外交、科学、军方及前政府官员分别扮演各国政府、气候 NGO、原住民群体和科技公司。该推演旨在防止各国失控竞赛开发行星降温技术，而 Golja 原本以为各方能轻易就合乎伦理的研究达成共识，结果发现远非如此。
When it comes to deciding the fate of the planet, Colleen Golja always thought science and reason would have a seat at the table. That was until one morning last September in London, when the climate researcher took part in the first in a series of war games. The goal: to prevent an uncontrolled global race to develop a technology aimed at cooling the planet but that comes with vast, unknown risks that could reshape life on Earth.
“I thought that would be such an easy thing. Like, we can all agree to do ethical research and make sure it's for the better of all humans,” she told WIRED. “And boy, was I wrong.”
The simulation, titled Exploring Geopolitical Tipping Points and Climate Cooling Strategies, saw a couple dozen foreign-relations experts, scientists, military personnel, and former government officials from across the world convene in a meeting room at Queen Mary University of London. After making introductions over coffee and little yogurts, they sat at tables arranged in a square with the name of the country or organization each person was playing: national governments, climate NGOs and nonprofits, indigenous groups, and tech companies. Golja was assigned to provide technical advice to help participants make scientifically literate decisions.
来源：Ars Technica：AI · arstechnica.com