新研究：AI 支出仍“很难找到实际、可量化的财务影响”
It remains “very difficult [to find] actual, materially measurable financial impacts” from spending on AI, per new study
The Information 的 Laura Bratton 报道的一项新研究显示，AI 支出至今仍“很难找到实际、可量化的财务影响”，2023 年初关于 ChatGPT 让每位员工生产力提升 10 倍、并大幅拉高各国 GDP 的设想，目前尚无大规模证据支持。可记录的 ROI 极低与数万亿美元投入之间的反差依然反常且令人困惑。
Greetings from New Delhi.
In an emailed newsletter, Laura Bratton at The Information has reported on a new study (direct link not available):
Anybody remember back in early 2023, when people imagined that ChatGPT was going to 10x every employee’s productivity and radically boost the GDP’s of entire countries?
So far, there’s zero evidence of anything like that happening at scale.
The juxtaposition between the minimal documentable ROI and the trillions of dollars invested in this technology remains perverse and often baffling.
P.S. In other news, early generative AI darling Character.AI has filed for bankruptcy, and Coreweave bonds have reached 15%, suggesting that credit markets have had enough.
P.P.S. This is insane.
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来源：Gary Marcus：The Road to AI We Can Trust · garymarcus.substack.com