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arXiv:cs.LG· Humzah Merchant, Alec Guthrie, Simon Mahns, Randall Balestriero, Bradford Levy·· 4 小时前AI 评分47

面向金融世界模型:Market-1T 数据集与金融表征学习大规模研究

Towards Financial World Modeling

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研究者发布 Market-1T 数据集,涵盖 2008 至 2025 年美国股票近 1 万亿条 1 Hz 观测,并系统比较 18 种编码器训练策略。研究发现,预测性能相近的编码器可能以截然不同的方式组织市场状态,为 DINO-WM、V-JEPA 2、LeWM 等世界模型提供金融表征训练与评估基础。

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Abstract:Building a world model requires a state representation useful for planning and decision-making---potentially over tasks unknown at training time. In the context of financial markets, planning and decision-making may require a model to reason about market-wide conditions, asset-specific expected returns, liquidity, volatility, and cross-asset relationships. Yet financial representation learning has largely been evaluated on individual predictive tasks, oftentimes on a single time period using comparatively narrow datasets. We address this through three primary contributions. First, we introduce Market-1T, a dataset containing nearly one trillion observations across U.S. equities from 2008 to 2025 at 1 Hz resolution. Second, we develop and implement a rigorous evaluation protocol. Third, we conduct a systematic large-scale study of financial representation learning, comparing 18 encoder-training strategies across nearly two decades of market regimes. We evaluate learned representations both by their predictive utility on common finance tasks and through probes of latent structure. We find that encoders with similar predictive performance can organize market state very differently. Collectively, we establish a foundation for training and evaluating financial market representations in support of world models such as DINO-WM, V-JEPA 2, and LeWM.
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2610.09048 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2610.09048v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2610.09048

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Bradford Levy [view email]
[v1] Tue, 6 Oct 2026 19:54:14 UTC (707 KB)

来源:arXiv:cs.LG · arxiv.org