jietang· @jietang · X·· 21 天前AI 评分26
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你确定吗？找到最优模型规模很棘手：数据量、激活参数量、环境数量，以及目标推理成本。模型性能还取决于许多其他因素，每个因素都带来各自的变数。
正文
Are you sure? Finding the optimal model size is tricky: data volume, active parameter count, the number of environments, and the target inference cost. Model performance also depends on many other factors, each introducing its own variability.
Fable is probably ~2-2.5T parameters, not 10T. Kimi K3 is 2.8T params, trained on maybe 20–30k Blackwell-equivalents. It lands within spitting distance of Fable 5 in terms of capabilities (5, not 5.1). Anthropic has far more compute than Moonshot, better rl environments, better architecture and better optimizers and all of that adds to capability per parameter. So if Fable is only slightly ahead of K3 with this in mind, it's almost certainly a smaller model. GPT-5.5 and 5.6 are smaller still (I'll say more on that later)在 X 查看被引用的帖子
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