Peter McCrory· @PeterMcCrory · X·· 21 天前AI 评分52
AI 导读
Anthropic 首席经济学家 Peter McCrory 与 Jack Clark 对谈其 AI 经济影响情景研究。他表示目标不是做预测，而是理解可能结果的区间及其出现的条件，希望厘清对不确定未来的分歧来源；引用内容提到研究情景从影响很小到 2030 年 GDP 增长 15%、知识工作者失业率达 18%。
正文
Great discussion w/ @jackclarkSF on our econ scenario research.
The goal is not to make a forecast per se, but to understand the range of possible outcomes and the conditions under which they may emerge.
The hope is to clarify sources of disagreement about our uncertain future.
New from us: Anthropic just published scenarios for AI’s possible economic impacts, which range from minimal, to explosive GDP growth of 15% by 2030 as knowledge-worker unemployment hits 18%. I sat down with their co-founder Jack Clark to pick his brains on how they’re thinking about all of this.在 X 查看被引用的帖子
来源：Peter McCrory · x.com