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Ilya Sutskever· @ilyasut · X·· 2025-11-28AI 评分36
AI 导读

我提出的一个观点没有被传达出来: - 扩展当前的东西会持续带来改进。特别是,它不会停滞。 - 但某个重要的东西会继续缺失。

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One point I made that didn’t come across:
- Scaling the current thing will keep leading to improvements. In particular, it won’t stall.
- But something important will continue to be missing.

引用Haider.@haider1
here are the most important points from today's ilya sutskever podcast: - superintelligence in 5-20 years - current scaling will stall hard; we're back to real research - superintelligence = super-fast continual learner, not finished oracle - models generalize 100x worse than humans, the biggest AGI blocker - need completely new ML paradigm (i have ideas, can't share rn) - AI impact will hit hard, but only after economic diffusion - breakthroughs historically needed almost no compute - SSI has enough focused research compute to win - current RL already eats more compute than pre-training
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来源:Ilya Sutskever · x.com