跳到正文
原文
Tomer Tunguz 博客(VC 分析)·· 2 小时前精选AI 评分73

Google Q4 2025 财报:Gemini token 处理量同比增长 52 倍,服务成本下降 78%

Google's 52x AI Growth

AI 导读

Google Q4 2025 财报电话会披露,Gemini 经直接 API 每分钟处理超 100 亿 token,同比增长 52 倍,同时 Gemini 服务单位成本下降 78%,相当于每 GPU 小时 token 产出提升 4.5 倍。

推荐理由

作者把 Google 财报数据与 Microsoft 同口径对比,读者可借此横向判断各家云厂商的 AI 增长与成本效率差异。

正文 · 原文

In short : Google's Gemini processes 10B tokens/minute, up 52x YoY, while cutting serving costs 78%. Cloud revenue hit $17.7B, growing 48%.

Google’s Q4 2025 earnings call revealed a company in the midst of a spectacular AI acceleration.

“Our first-party models like Gemini now process over 10 billion tokens per minute via direct API used by our customers, up from 7 billion last quarter.”

Google Token Volume 52x

This represents a staggering 52x increase year-over-year, up from ~8.3 trillion tokens/month in December 2024 to an annualized run rate of over 430 trillion.

For context on the scale :

“Nearly 350 customers each process more than 100 billion tokens.”

Microsoft reported over 250 customers projected to process more than 1 trillion tokens annually - a 10x higher threshold, suggesting their largest customers are consuming significantly more tokens per account.

While volume is exploding, costs are plummeting. Google announced :

“We were able to lower Gemini serving unit costs by 78%.”

This means a 4.5x improvement in tokens per GPU hour.

Compare this to Microsoft’s update last year, where they highlighted a 90% increase in tokens per GPU. Google’s 4.5x (or 350%) improvement suggests they are finding massive efficiencies in their TPU infrastructure and model architecture.

The AI boom is translating directly to revenue :

“Backlog grew 55% to $240 billion.”

This compares to Microsoft’s RPO of $625 billion, 45% of which comes from OpenAI.

Gemini Enterprise has sold more than 8 million paid seats just four months after launch. Google Cloud revenue grew 48% to $17.7 billion, outpacing Azure’s 39% growth.

Google Cloud Revenue History

To fuel this growth, Google is committing capital at an unprecedented scale.

“Our 2026 CapEx investments are anticipated to be in the range of $175 to $180 billion.”

If Google alone is spending ~$175B, the hyperscalers collectively (Google, Microsoft, Amazon, & Meta) could drive $500B to $750B in data center CapEx this year. This level of investment signals their conviction that the demand for tokens is only just beginning.

Currently, AI infrastructure spending is ~1.6% of GDP, compared to the peak of the railroad era at 6.0%. At this rate, AI data center buildouts would be equivalent to the national highway system as an investment percentage of GDP.

Google’s AI business is growing at 48% while reducing serving costs by about 80%. The efficiency of the business is unparalleled.

Get the next one in your inbox

The 1-minute read that turns tech data into strategic advantage.
Read by 150k+ founders & operators.

GP at Theory Ventures. Former Google PM. Sharing data-driven insights on AI, web3, & venture capital.

Bloomberg • WSJ • Economist

来源:Tomer Tunguz 博客(VC 分析) · tomtunguz.com